Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 4.167486 4.487281 4.830610 5.228487 5.679257 6.176939 6.771923
2025-05-18 3.653501 4.097184 4.605354 5.237963 6.015303 6.954433 8.199348
2025-05-25 3.259445 3.745668 4.325061 5.080003 6.059241 7.319383 9.123421
2025-06-01 2.988366 3.497318 4.122231 4.965867 6.108679 7.658702 10.031972
2025-06-08 2.824230 3.359041 4.033557 4.974225 6.301620 8.196543 11.303263
2025-06-15 2.719030 3.282652 4.011571 5.060157 6.600321 8.916028 12.998277
2025-06-22 2.533552 3.086537 3.812729 4.877700 6.482120 8.977247 13.597116
2025-06-29 2.390595 2.937014 3.664941 4.752115 6.430489 9.128721 14.379959
2025-07-06 2.267719 2.806860 3.534291 4.638678 6.382021 9.272591 15.173762
2025-07-13 2.192650 2.737235 3.482891 4.636834 6.507173 9.726576 16.705460
2025-07-20 2.144703 2.701846 3.476797 4.701261 6.744656 10.414178 18.952423
2025-07-27 2.119015 2.695608 3.511333 4.829831 7.102861 11.387953 22.246027
2025-08-03 2.051451 2.631034 3.462801 4.833581 7.264628 12.051603 25.198903
2025-08-10 1.987498 2.569379 3.416243 4.839088 7.435797 12.785826 28.836418
2025-08-17 1.893594 2.459188 3.289035 4.699037 7.316211 12.857923 30.438270
2025-08-24 1.816279 2.369979 3.189243 4.597752 7.259455 13.064219 32.666942
2025-08-31 1.769796 2.324365 3.154480 4.605173 7.416664 13.814060 37.559651
2025-09-07 1.741745 2.304845 3.159216 4.681431 7.722418 15.015525 45.701708
2025-09-14 1.665131 2.208432 3.036114 4.519415 7.510297 14.802071 46.776446
2025-09-21 1.603562 2.132960 2.943697 4.407679 7.395606 14.840045 49.373436
2025-09-28 1.547812 2.064545 2.859882 4.306596 7.294294 14.899165 52.264166
2025-10-05 1.515169 2.030628 2.830868 4.304951 7.412246 15.627120 60.558458
2025-10-12 1.495753 2.016420 2.833443 4.362382 7.670454 16.860096 75.371602